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HRV Κροατία - HNL · Round 1 ·

Ριέκα vs Ντιναμό Ζάγκρεμπ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–22.59 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου24%
Ισοπαλία28%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου48%
Full model forecastΝίκη φιλοξενούμενουTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου48% selection probability
Projected score1–2ΡιέκαΝτιναμό Ζάγκρεμπ
Expected goals2.59Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω52% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
24% / 28% / 48%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ριέκα win (23.8%)Διπλή ΕυκαιρίαX276.2%1.31
Άνω 48% · Κάτω 52%Goals 2.5Κάτω52%1.92
Ναι 49% · Όχι 51%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι51%1.96
2.59 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–2
9.2 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Ριέκα win24%4.17
Ισοπαλία28%3.57
Ντιναμό Ζάγκρεμπ win48%2.08

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ριέκα0.90

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 34.7%

Total expected goals2.59Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 48% · Κάτω 52%

Ντιναμό Ζάγκρεμπ1.69

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 65.3%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitΝαι 49% · Όχι 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Ριέκα

3.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Πόντοι15

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 5/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Ντιναμό Ζάγκρεμπ

2.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Πόντοι11

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
24%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
48%
15
Points from supplied form
11
0.90
Expected goals
1.69
ΡιέκαΝτιναμό Ζάγκρεμπ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ριέκα signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ντιναμό Ζάγκρεμπ signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Ριέκα vs Ντιναμό Ζάγκρεμπ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου · Projected score 1–2 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ριέκα νίκη 24%,Ισοπαλία 28%,Ντιναμό Ζάγκρεμπ νίκη 48%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.59 · Άνω 2.5 48% · Current selection Κάτω