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URY Uruguay - Liga rezerwowa · Final ·

CA River Plate - Rezerwa vs Defensor Sporting - Rezerwa

Prediction review

Gospodarze form
Final score3–3Prognoza 1–2
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy25%
Remis24%
Wygrana gości51%
Full model forecastWygrana gościTier A · 51% selection probability
Prediction Nietrafiony
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gości51% selection probability
Projected score1–2CA River Plate - RezerwaDefensor Sporting - Rezerwa
Expected goals3.53Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej68% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
25% / 24% / 51%Wynik meczuWygrana gości51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.4%)Podwójna szansa1275.6%1.32
Powyżej 68% · Poniżej 32%Goals 2.5Powyżej68%1.47
Tak 62% · Nie 38%Obie drużyny strzeląTak62%1.61
3.53 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–2
9.7 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapDefensor Sporting - Rezerwa winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CA River Plate - Rezerwa win25%4.003.5025.5%-0.5 pp
Remis24%4.173.6024.8%-0.8 pp
Defensor Sporting - Rezerwa win51%1.961.8049.6%+1.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CA River Plate - Rezerwa1.14

Gospodarze share of expected goals 32.3%

Total expected goals3.53Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 68% · Poniżej 32%

Defensor Sporting - Rezerwa2.39

Goście share of expected goals 67.7%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitTak 62% · Nie 38%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

CA River Plate - Rezerwa

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Defensor Sporting - Rezerwa

1.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkty8

SignalGoście unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
51%
7
Points from supplied form
8
1.14
Expected goals
2.39
CA River Plate - RezerwaDefensor Sporting - Rezerwa
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CA River Plate - Rezerwa signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Defensor Sporting - Rezerwa signalGoście unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

CA River Plate - Rezerwa vs Defensor Sporting - Rezerwa FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gości · Projected score 1–2 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CA River Plate - Rezerwa wygrana 25%,Remis 24%,Defensor Sporting - Rezerwa wygrana 51%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.53 · Powyżej 2.5 68% · Current selection Powyżej