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URY Uruguay - Ligue réserve · Final ·

CA River Plate - Réserves vs Defensor Sporting - Réserves

Prediction review

Domicile form
Final score3–3Pronostic 1–2
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile25%
Nul24%
Victoire à l’extérieur51%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 51% selection probability
Prediction Perdu
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur51% selection probability
Projected score1–2CA River Plate - RéservesDefensor Sporting - Réserves
Expected goals3.53Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de68% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
25% / 24% / 51%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.4%)Double chance1275.6%1.32
Plus de 68% · Moins de 32%Goals 2.5Plus de68%1.47
Oui 62% · Non 38%Les deux équipes marquentOui62%1.61
3.53 total expected goalsScore exact1–2
9.7 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapDefensor Sporting - Réserves winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CA River Plate - Réserves win25%4.003.5025.5%-0.5 pp
Nul24%4.173.6024.8%-0.8 pp
Defensor Sporting - Réserves win51%1.961.8049.6%+1.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CA River Plate - Réserves1.14

Domicile share of expected goals 32.3%

Total expected goals3.53Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 68% · Moins de 32%

Defensor Sporting - Réserves2.39

Extérieur share of expected goals 67.7%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitOui 62% · Non 38%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

CA River Plate - Réserves

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Defensor Sporting - Réserves

1.60pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalExtérieur unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Gagné probability excluding draw
51%
7
Points from supplied form
8
1.14
Expected goals
2.39
CA River Plate - RéservesDefensor Sporting - Réserves
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CA River Plate - Réserves signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Defensor Sporting - Réserves signalExtérieur unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

CA River Plate - Réserves vs Defensor Sporting - Réserves FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–2 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CA River Plate - Réserves victoire 25%,Nul 24%,Defensor Sporting - Réserves victoire 51%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.53 · Plus de 2.5 68% · Current selection Plus de