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URY Uruguay - Reserveliga · Final ·

CA River Plate - Reserve vs Defensor Sporting - Reserve

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score3–3Prognose 1–2
Auswärts form
Heimsieg25%
Unentschieden24%
Auswärtssieg51%
Full model forecastAuswärtssiegTier A · 51% selection probability
Prediction Verloren
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg51% selection probability
Projected score1–2CA River Plate - ReserveDefensor Sporting - Reserve
Expected goals3.53Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über68% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
25% / 24% / 51%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.4%)Doppelte Chance1275.6%1.32
Über 68% · Unter 32%Goals 2.5Über68%1.47
Ja 62% · Nein 38%Beide Teams treffenJa62%1.61
3.53 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–2
9.7 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapDefensor Sporting - Reserve winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CA River Plate - Reserve win25%4.003.5025.5%-0.5 pp
Unentschieden24%4.173.6024.8%-0.8 pp
Defensor Sporting - Reserve win51%1.961.8049.6%+1.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CA River Plate - Reserve1.14

Heim share of expected goals 32.3%

Total expected goals3.53Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 68% · Unter 32%

Defensor Sporting - Reserve2.39

Auswärts share of expected goals 67.7%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 62% · Nein 38%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

CA River Plate - Reserve

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Defensor Sporting - Reserve

1.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkte8

SignalAuswärts unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
51%
7
Points from supplied form
8
1.14
Expected goals
2.39
CA River Plate - ReserveDefensor Sporting - Reserve
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CA River Plate - Reserve signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Defensor Sporting - Reserve signalAuswärts unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

CA River Plate - Reserve vs Defensor Sporting - Reserve FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 1–2 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CA River Plate - Reserve Gewinn 25%,Unentschieden 24%,Defensor Sporting - Reserve Gewinn 51%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.53 · Über 2.5 68% · Current selection Über