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URY Uruguay Reserve League · Final ·

CA River Plate Reserves vs Defensor Sporting reserver

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score3–3Prognose 1–2
Borte form
Hjemmeseier25%
Uavgjort24%
Borteseier51%
Full model forecastBorteseierTier A · 51% selection probability
Prediction Tapt
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBorteseier51% selection probability
Projected score1–2CA River Plate ReservesDefensor Sporting reserver
Expected goals3.53Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over68% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
25% / 24% / 51%KampresultatBorteseier51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.4%)Dobbel sjanse1275.6%1.32
Over 68% · Under 32%Goals 2.5Over68%1.47
Ja 62% · Nei 38%Begge lag scorerJa62%1.61
3.53 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
9.7 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapDefensor Sporting reserver winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CA River Plate Reserves win25%4.003.5025.5%-0.5 pp
Uavgjort24%4.173.6024.8%-0.8 pp
Defensor Sporting reserver win51%1.961.8049.6%+1.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CA River Plate Reserves1.14

Hjemme share of expected goals 32.3%

Total expected goals3.53Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 68% · Under 32%

Defensor Sporting reserver2.39

Borte share of expected goals 67.7%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 62% · Nei 38%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

CA River Plate Reserves

1.40pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poeng7

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Defensor Sporting reserver

1.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poeng8

SignalBorte unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
51%
7
Points from supplied form
8
1.14
Expected goals
2.39
CA River Plate ReservesDefensor Sporting reserver
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CA River Plate Reserves signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Defensor Sporting reserver signalBorte unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

CA River Plate Reserves vs Defensor Sporting reserver FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Borteseier · Projected score 1–2 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CA River Plate Reserves vunnet 25%,Uavgjort 24%,Defensor Sporting reserver vunnet 51%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.53 · Over 2.5 68% · Current selection Over