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INT Peru Liga 1 · Mecz ·

Sport Boys vs Alianza Lima

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–12.08 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy24%
Remis27%
Wygrana gości49%
Full model forecastWygrana gościTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gości49% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sport BoysAlianza Lima
Expected goals2.08Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej66% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.0Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
24% / 27% / 49%Wynik meczuWygrana gości49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sport Boys win (24.4%)Podwójna szansaX275.6%1.32
Powyżej 34% · Poniżej 66%Goals 2.5Poniżej66%1.52
Tak 40% · Nie 60%Obie drużyny strzeląNie60%1.67
2.08 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
8.0 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.5%Largest probability gapSport Boys winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sport Boys win24%4.173.7024.5%-0.5 pp
Remis27%3.703.4026.6%+0.4 pp
Alianza Lima win49%2.041.8548.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sport Boys0.81

Gospodarze share of expected goals 38.9%

Total expected goals2.08Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 34% · Poniżej 66%

Alianza Lima1.27

Goście share of expected goals 61.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 40% · Nie 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Sport Boys

2.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkty10

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Alianza Lima

2.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punkty11

SignalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
24%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
49%
10
Points from supplied form
11
0.81
Expected goals
1.27
Sport BoysAlianza Lima
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sport Boys signalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Alianza Lima signalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Sport Boys vs Alianza Lima FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gości · Projected score 1–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sport Boys wygrana 24%,Remis 27%,Alianza Lima wygrana 49%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.08 · Powyżej 2.5 34% · Current selection Poniżej