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INT Peru Liga 1 · Partida ·

Sport Boys vs Alianza Lima

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–12.08 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa24%
Empate27%
Vitória visitante49%
Full model forecastVitória visitanteTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória visitante49% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sport BoysAlianza Lima
Expected goals2.08Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo66% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.0Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
24% / 27% / 49%Resultado da partidaVitória visitante49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sport Boys win (24.4%)Dupla ChanceX275.6%1.32
Acima 34% · Abaixo 66%Goals 2.5Abaixo66%1.52
Sim 40% · Não 60%Ambas as equipes marcamNão60%1.67
2.08 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
8.0 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.5%Largest probability gapSport Boys winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sport Boys win24%4.173.7024.5%-0.5 pp
Empate27%3.703.4026.6%+0.4 pp
Alianza Lima win49%2.041.8548.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sport Boys0.81

Mandante share of expected goals 38.9%

Total expected goals2.08Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 34% · Abaixo 66%

Alianza Lima1.27

Visitante share of expected goals 61.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 40% · Não 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Sport Boys

2.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontos10

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Alianza Lima

2.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Pontos11

SignalMandante matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
24%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
49%
10
Points from supplied form
11
0.81
Expected goals
1.27
Sport BoysAlianza Lima
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sport Boys signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Alianza Lima signalMandante matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Sport Boys vs Alianza Lima FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória visitante · Projected score 1–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sport Boys ganhou 24%,Empate 27%,Alianza Lima ganhou 49%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.08 · Acima 2.5 34% · Current selection Abaixo