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PRT Portugal - Campeonato Nacional · Wedstrijd ·

Rebordosa vs FC Tirsense

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–11.68 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst42%
Gelijkspel29%
Uitwinst29%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst42% selection probability
Projected score1–1RebordosaFC Tirsense
Expected goals1.68Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder76% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee68% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
42% / 29% / 29%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Tirsense win (28.5%)Dubbele Kans1X71.5%1.40
Boven 24% · Onder 76%Goals 2.5Onder76%1.32
Ja 32% · Nee 68%Beide teams scorenNee68%1.47
1.68 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.4 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapRebordosa winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Rebordosa win42%2.382.1042.5%-0.5 pp
Gelijkspel29%3.453.1028.8%+0.2 pp
FC Tirsense win29%3.453.1028.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Rebordosa0.96

Thuis share of expected goals 57.1%

Total expected goals1.68Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 24% · Onder 76%

FC Tirsense0.72

Uit share of expected goals 42.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 32% · Nee 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Rebordosa

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

FC Tirsense

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalThuis failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
29%
4
Points from supplied form
8
0.96
Expected goals
0.72
RebordosaFC Tirsense
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Rebordosa signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Tirsense signalThuis failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Rebordosa vs FC Tirsense FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Rebordosa gewonnen 42%,Gelijkspel 29%,FC Tirsense gewonnen 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.68 · Boven 2.5 24% · Current selection Onder