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POL Polen - IV Liga · Wedstrijd ·

Stomil Olsztyn vs Tecza Biskupiec

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–13.09 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst58%
Gelijkspel21%
Uitwinst21%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst58% selection probability
Projected score2–1Stomil OlsztynTecza Biskupiec
Expected goals3.09Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven60% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa50% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
58% / 21% / 21%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.6%)Dubbele Kans1279.4%1.26
Boven 60% · Onder 40%Goals 2.5Boven60%1.67
Ja 50% · Nee 50%Beide teams scorenJa50%2.00
3.09 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
10.6 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapTecza Biskupiec winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Stomil Olsztyn win58%1.721.5757.3%+0.7 pp
Gelijkspel21%4.764.3320.8%+0.2 pp
Tecza Biskupiec win21%4.764.1021.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Stomil Olsztyn2.28

Thuis share of expected goals 73.8%

Total expected goals3.09Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 60% · Onder 40%

Tecza Biskupiec0.81

Uit share of expected goals 26.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 50% · Nee 50%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Stomil Olsztyn

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Tecza Biskupiec

3.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Punten15

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
21%
7
Points from supplied form
15
2.28
Expected goals
0.81
Stomil OlsztynTecza Biskupiec
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Stomil Olsztyn signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tecza Biskupiec signalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Stomil Olsztyn vs Tecza Biskupiec FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Stomil Olsztyn gewonnen 58%,Gelijkspel 21%,Tecza Biskupiec gewonnen 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.09 · Boven 2.5 60% · Current selection Boven