MatchFormula Find a match
Menu
UTC+8
Time zoneAsia/Shanghai
English
POL Poland IV Liga · Fixture ·

Stomil Olsztyn vs Tecza Biskupiec

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.10 expected goals
Away form
Home win58%
Draw21%
Away win21%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win58% selection probability
Projected score2–1Stomil OlsztynTecza Biskupiec
Expected goals3.10Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over60% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes50% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
58% / 21% / 21%Match resultHome win58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.6%)Double chance1279.4%1.26
Over 60% · Under 40%Goals 2.5Over60%1.67
Yes 50% · No 50%Both teams scoreYes50%2.00
3.10 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.6 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapTecza Biskupiec winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Stomil Olsztyn win58%1.721.5757.3%+0.7 pp
Draw21%4.764.3320.8%+0.2 pp
Tecza Biskupiec win21%4.764.1021.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Stomil Olsztyn2.29

Home share of expected goals 73.9%

Total expected goals3.10Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 60% · Under 40%

Tecza Biskupiec0.81

Away share of expected goals 26.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 50% · No 50%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Stomil Olsztyn

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Tecza Biskupiec

3.00pts / match
Played5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Points15

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Win probability excluding draw
21%
7
Points from supplied form
15
2.29
Expected goals
0.81
Stomil OlsztynTecza Biskupiec
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Stomil Olsztyn signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tecza Biskupiec signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Stomil Olsztyn vs Tecza Biskupiec FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Stomil Olsztyn win 58%,Draw 21%,Tecza Biskupiec win 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.10 · Over 2.5 60% · Current selection Over