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EUR Europe Friendlies · Wedstrijd ·

Albacete Balompié vs Real Murcia

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–13.31 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst62%
Gelijkspel20%
Uitwinst18%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 62% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst62% selection probability
Projected score2–1Albacete BalompiéReal Murcia
Expected goals3.31Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven65% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
62% / 20% / 18%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Real Murcia win (17.5%)Dubbele Kans1X82.5%1.21
Boven 65% · Onder 35%Goals 2.5Boven65%1.54
Ja 64% · Nee 36%Beide teams scorenJa64%1.56
3.31 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
8.2 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Albacete Balompié win62%1.611.4063.9%
Gelijkspel20%5.004.5019.9%
Real Murcia win18%5.565.5016.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Albacete Balompié2.10

Thuis share of expected goals 63.4%

Total expected goals3.31Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 65% · Onder 35%

Real Murcia1.21

Uit share of expected goals 36.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 64% · Nee 36%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Albacete Balompié

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Real Murcia

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9

SignalThuis failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
62%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
18%
4
Points from supplied form
9
2.10
Expected goals
1.21
Albacete BalompiéReal Murcia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Albacete Balompié signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Real Murcia signalThuis failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Albacete Balompié vs Real Murcia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Albacete Balompié gewonnen 62%,Gelijkspel 20%,Real Murcia gewonnen 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.31 · Boven 2.5 65% · Current selection Boven