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EUR Europe Friendlies · Матч ·

Альбасете Баломпе vs Реал Мурсия

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–13.31 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев62%
Ничья20%
Победа гостей18%
Market-based forecastПобеда хозяевTier B · 62% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев62% selection probability
Projected score2–1Альбасете БаломпеРеал Мурсия
Expected goals3.31Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше65% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
62% / 20% / 18%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Реал Мурсия win (17.5%)Двойной шанс1X82.5%1.21
Больше 65% · Меньше 35%Goals 2.5Больше65%1.54
Да 64% · Нет 36%Обе забьютДа64%1.56
3.31 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
8.2 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНет
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Альбасете Баломпе win62%1.611.4063.9%
Ничья20%5.004.5019.9%
Реал Мурсия win18%5.565.5016.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Альбасете Баломпе2.10

Хозяева share of expected goals 63.4%

Total expected goals3.31Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 65% · Меньше 35%

Реал Мурсия1.21

Гости share of expected goals 36.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 64% · Нет 36%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Альбасете Баломпе

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Реал Мурсия

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Баллы9

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
62%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
18%
4
Points from supplied form
9
2.10
Expected goals
1.21
Альбасете БаломпеРеал Мурсия
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Альбасете Баломпе signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Реал Мурсия signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Альбасете Баломпе vs Реал Мурсия FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Альбасете Баломпе выигрыш 62%,Ничья 20%,Реал Мурсия выигрыш 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.31 · ТБ 2.5 65% · Current selection Больше