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アルバセテ・バロンピエ vs レアルムルシア

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–13.31 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利62%
引き分け20%
アウェイ勝利18%
Market-based forecastホーム勝利Tier B · 62% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利62% selection probability
Projected score2–1アルバセテ・バロンピエレアルムルシア
Expected goals3.31始値 match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー65% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
62% / 20% / 18%試合結果ホーム勝利62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes レアルムルシア win (17.5%)ダブルチャンス1X82.5%1.21
オーバー 65% · アンダー 35%Goals 2.5オーバー65%1.54
はい 64% · いいえ 36%両チーム得点はい64%1.56
3.31 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
8.2 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimなし
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
アルバセテ・バロンピエ win62%1.611.4063.9%
引き分け20%5.004.5019.9%
レアルムルシア win18%5.565.5016.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

アルバセテ・バロンピエ2.10

ホーム share of expected goals 63.4%

Total expected goals3.31始値

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 65% · アンダー 35%

レアルムルシア1.21

アウェイ share of expected goals 36.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 64% · いいえ 36%Match profile始値
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

アルバセテ・バロンピエ

0.80pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn1Losses3ポイント4

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

レアルムルシア

1.80pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn0Losses2ポイント9

Signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
62%
勝ち probability excluding draw
18%
4
Points from supplied form
9
2.10
Expected goals
1.21
アルバセテ・バロンピエレアルムルシア
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01アルバセテ・バロンピエ signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02レアルムルシア signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

アルバセテ・バロンピエ vs レアルムルシア FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

アルバセテ・バロンピエ 勝ち 62%,引き分け 20%,レアルムルシア 勝ち 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.31 · オーバー 2.5 65% · Current selection オーバー