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KGZ Kirgizië - Top Liga · Final ·

Toktogul vs FC Ozgon

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score3–2Voorspelling 1–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst39%
Gelijkspel26%
Uitwinst35%
Baseline forecastThuiswinstTier C · 39% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst39% selection probability
Projected score1–1ToktogulFC Ozgon
Expected goals2.71Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven51% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
39% / 26% / 35%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.7%)Dubbele Kans1274.3%1.35
Boven 51% · Onder 49%Goals 2.5Boven51%1.96
Ja 55% · Nee 45%Beide teams scorenJa55%1.82
2.71 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.7 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Toktogul win39%2.56
Gelijkspel26%3.85
FC Ozgon win35%2.86

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Toktogul1.39

Thuis share of expected goals 51.3%

Total expected goals2.71Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 51% · Onder 49%

FC Ozgon1.32

Uit share of expected goals 48.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 55% · Nee 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Toktogul

0.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punten1

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

FC Ozgon

2.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punten12

SignalThuis failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
35%
1
Points from supplied form
12
1.39
Expected goals
1.32
ToktogulFC Ozgon
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Toktogul signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Ozgon signalThuis failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Toktogul vs FC Ozgon FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Toktogul gewonnen 39%,Gelijkspel 26%,FC Ozgon gewonnen 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.71 · Boven 2.5 51% · Current selection Boven