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INT Nieuw-Zeeland - Northern League · Wedstrijd ·

Eastern Suburbs Auckland vs Fencibles United

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.36 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst60%
Gelijkspel21%
Uitwinst19%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst60% selection probability
Projected score2–1Eastern Suburbs AucklandFencibles United
Expected goals2.36Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder58% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
60% / 21% / 19%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fencibles United win (18.7%)Dubbele Kans1X81.3%1.23
Boven 42% · Onder 58%Goals 2.5Onder58%1.72
Ja 35% · Nee 65%Beide teams scorenNee65%1.54
2.36 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.9 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.7%Largest probability gapEastern Suburbs Auckland winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Eastern Suburbs Auckland win60%1.671.5059.2%+0.8 pp
Gelijkspel21%4.764.2021.1%-0.1 pp
Fencibles United win19%5.264.5019.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Eastern Suburbs Auckland1.82

Thuis share of expected goals 77.1%

Total expected goals2.36Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 42% · Onder 58%

Fencibles United0.54

Uit share of expected goals 22.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 35% · Nee 65%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Eastern Suburbs Auckland

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Fencibles United

2.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punten12

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
19%
10
Points from supplied form
12
1.82
Expected goals
0.54
Eastern Suburbs AucklandFencibles United
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Eastern Suburbs Auckland signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fencibles United signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Eastern Suburbs Auckland vs Fencibles United FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Eastern Suburbs Auckland gewonnen 60%,Gelijkspel 21%,Fencibles United gewonnen 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.36 · Boven 2.5 42% · Current selection Onder