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INT Nieuw-Zeeland - Northern League · Wedstrijd ·

Auckland FC - Reserves vs East Coast Bays

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–23.29 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst36%
Gelijkspel24%
Uitwinst41%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst41% selection probability
Projected score2–2Auckland FC - ReservesEast Coast Bays
Expected goals3.29Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven64% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa65% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
36% / 24% / 41%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.6%)Dubbele Kans1276.4%1.31
Boven 64% · Onder 36%Goals 2.5Boven64%1.56
Ja 65% · Nee 35%Beide teams scorenJa65%1.54
3.29 total expected goalsExacte score2–2
10.4 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Auckland FC - Reserves win36%2.782.5035.8%+0.2 pp
Gelijkspel24%4.173.8023.5%+0.5 pp
East Coast Bays win41%2.442.2040.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Auckland FC - Reserves1.60

Thuis share of expected goals 48.6%

Total expected goals3.29Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 64% · Onder 36%

East Coast Bays1.69

Uit share of expected goals 51.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 65% · Nee 35%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Auckland FC - Reserves

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

East Coast Bays

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
41%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.60
Expected goals
1.69
Auckland FC - ReservesEast Coast Bays
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Auckland FC - Reserves signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02East Coast Bays signalThuis won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Auckland FC - Reserves vs East Coast Bays FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 2–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Auckland FC - Reserves gewonnen 36%,Gelijkspel 24%,East Coast Bays gewonnen 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.29 · Boven 2.5 64% · Current selection Boven