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AUS Australia Darwin Premier League · Round 23 ·

University Azzurri FC vs Darwin Olympic

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–23.85 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst47%
Gelijkspel21%
Uitwinst33%
Baseline forecastThuiswinstTier C · 47% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst47% selection probability
Projected score2–2University Azzurri FCDarwin Olympic
Expected goals3.85Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven74% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa72% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
47% / 21% / 33%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.8%)Dubbele Kans1279.2%1.26
Boven 74% · Onder 26%Goals 2.5Boven74%1.35
Ja 72% · Nee 28%Beide teams scorenJa72%1.39
3.85 total expected goalsExacte score2–2
9.3 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
University Azzurri FC win47%2.13
Gelijkspel21%4.76
Darwin Olympic win33%3.03

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

University Azzurri FC2.11

Thuis share of expected goals 54.8%

Total expected goals3.85Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 74% · Onder 26%

Darwin Olympic1.74

Uit share of expected goals 45.2%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 72% · Nee 28%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

University Azzurri FC

2.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punten12

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Darwin Olympic

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
33%
12
Points from supplied form
7
2.11
Expected goals
1.74
University Azzurri FCDarwin Olympic
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01University Azzurri FC signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Darwin Olympic signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

University Azzurri FC vs Darwin Olympic FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–2 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

University Azzurri FC gewonnen 47%,Gelijkspel 21%,Darwin Olympic gewonnen 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.85 · Boven 2.5 74% · Current selection Boven