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TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
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URY Uruguay - Clausura · Wedstrijd ·

Central Espanol vs Club Atletico Progreso

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.37 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst41%
Gelijkspel28%
Uitwinst31%
Baseline forecastThuiswinstTier C · 41% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Central EspanolClub Atletico Progreso
Expected goals2.37Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder58% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
41% / 28% / 31%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.7%)Dubbele Kans1272.3%1.38
Boven 42% · Onder 58%Goals 2.5Onder58%1.72
Ja 48% · Nee 52%Beide teams scorenNee52%1.92
2.37 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
8.7 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Central Espanol win41%2.44
Gelijkspel28%3.57
Club Atletico Progreso win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Central Espanol1.29

Thuis share of expected goals 54.4%

Total expected goals2.37Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 42% · Onder 58%

Club Atletico Progreso1.08

Uit share of expected goals 45.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 48% · Nee 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Central Espanol

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Club Atletico Progreso

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
31%
8
Points from supplied form
4
1.29
Expected goals
1.08
Central EspanolClub Atletico Progreso
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Central Espanol signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Club Atletico Progreso signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Central Espanol vs Club Atletico Progreso FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Central Espanol gewonnen 41%,Gelijkspel 28%,Club Atletico Progreso gewonnen 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.37 · Boven 2.5 42% · Current selection Onder