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CHE Zwitserland - Challenge League · Wedstrijd ·

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs FC Rapperswil-Jona

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–13.47 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst63%
Gelijkspel21%
Uitwinst17%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst63% selection probability
Projected score2–1Stade Lausanne-OuchyFC Rapperswil-Jona
Expected goals3.47Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven67% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa66% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
63% / 21% / 17%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Rapperswil-Jona win (16.6%)Dubbele Kans1X83.4%1.20
Boven 67% · Onder 33%Goals 2.5Boven67%1.49
Ja 66% · Nee 34%Beide teams scorenJa66%1.52
3.47 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.4 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.6%Largest probability gapFC Rapperswil-Jona winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win63%1.591.4563.5%-0.5 pp
Gelijkspel21%4.764.5020.5%+0.5 pp
FC Rapperswil-Jona win17%5.885.7516%+1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy2.09

Thuis share of expected goals 60.2%

Total expected goals3.47Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 67% · Onder 33%

FC Rapperswil-Jona1.38

Uit share of expected goals 39.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 66% · Nee 34%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

2.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punten13

SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

FC Rapperswil-Jona

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
17%
13
Points from supplied form
7
2.09
Expected goals
1.38
Stade Lausanne-OuchyFC Rapperswil-Jona
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Stade Lausanne-Ouchy signalThuis unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Rapperswil-Jona signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs FC Rapperswil-Jona FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy gewonnen 63%,Gelijkspel 21%,FC Rapperswil-Jona gewonnen 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.47 · Boven 2.5 67% · Current selection Boven