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CHE Schweiz - Challenge League · Final ·

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs FC Rapperswil-Jona

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score2–0Prognose 2–1
Auswärts form
Heimsieg61%
Unentschieden21%
Auswärtssieg17%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 61% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg61% selection probability
Projected score2–1Stade Lausanne-OuchyFC Rapperswil-Jona
Expected goals3.47Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über67% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa66% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
61% / 21% / 17%SpielergebnisHeimsieg61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Rapperswil-Jona win (17.4%)Doppelte Chance1X82.6%1.21
Über 67% · Unter 33%Goals 2.5Über67%1.49
Ja 66% · Nein 34%Beide Teams treffenJa66%1.52
3.47 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
9.4 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.9%Largest probability gapStade Lausanne-Ouchy winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win61%1.641.5061.8%-0.8 pp
Unentschieden21%4.764.3321.4%-0.4 pp
FC Rapperswil-Jona win17%5.885.5016.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy2.09

Heim share of expected goals 60.2%

Total expected goals3.47Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 67% · Unter 33%

FC Rapperswil-Jona1.38

Auswärts share of expected goals 39.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 66% · Nein 34%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

2.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punkte13

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

FC Rapperswil-Jona

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
17%
13
Points from supplied form
7
2.09
Expected goals
1.38
Stade Lausanne-OuchyFC Rapperswil-Jona
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Stade Lausanne-Ouchy signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Rapperswil-Jona signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs FC Rapperswil-Jona FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Gewinn 61%,Unentschieden 21%,FC Rapperswil-Jona Gewinn 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.47 · Über 2.5 67% · Current selection Über