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AUS Australia South Australia Premier League · Final ·

Adelaide Comets vs Metrostars

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score0–1Voorspelling 1–2
Uit form
Thuiswinst22%
Gelijkspel25%
Uitwinst53%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 53% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst53% selection probability
Projected score1–2Adelaide CometsMetrostars
Expected goals3.10Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven60% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
22% / 25% / 53%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Adelaide Comets win (21.9%)Dubbele KansX278.1%1.28
Boven 60% · Onder 40%Goals 2.5Boven60%1.67
Ja 56% · Nee 44%Beide teams scorenJa56%1.79
3.10 total expected goalsExacte score1–2
9.4 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Adelaide Comets win22%4.55
Gelijkspel25%4.00
Metrostars win53%1.89

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Adelaide Comets1.01

Thuis share of expected goals 32.6%

Total expected goals3.10Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 60% · Onder 40%

Metrostars2.09

Uit share of expected goals 67.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 56% · Nee 44%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Adelaide Comets

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Metrostars

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
22%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
53%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.01
Expected goals
2.09
Adelaide CometsMetrostars
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Adelaide Comets signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Metrostars signalThuis failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Adelaide Comets vs Metrostars FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–2 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Adelaide Comets gewonnen 22%,Gelijkspel 25%,Metrostars gewonnen 53%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.10 · Boven 2.5 60% · Current selection Boven