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SWE Zweden - Superettan · Wedstrijd ·

Varbergs BoIS FC vs Sandvikens IF

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–13.36 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst46%
Gelijkspel26%
Uitwinst29%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst46% selection probability
Projected score2–1Varbergs BoIS FCSandvikens IF
Expected goals3.36Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven65% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
46% / 26% / 29%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.8%)Dubbele Kans1274.2%1.35
Boven 65% · Onder 35%Goals 2.5Boven65%1.54
Ja 65% · Nee 35%Beide teams scorenJa65%1.54
3.36 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.6 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Varbergs BoIS FC win46%2.17
Gelijkspel26%3.85
Sandvikens IF win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Varbergs BoIS FC1.99

Thuis share of expected goals 59.2%

Total expected goals3.36Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 65% · Onder 35%

Sandvikens IF1.37

Uit share of expected goals 40.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 65% · Nee 35%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Varbergs BoIS FC

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9

SignalThuis won 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Sandvikens IF

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
29%
9
Points from supplied form
7
1.99
Expected goals
1.37
Varbergs BoIS FCSandvikens IF
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Varbergs BoIS FC signalThuis won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sandvikens IF signalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Varbergs BoIS FC vs Sandvikens IF FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Varbergs BoIS FC gewonnen 46%,Gelijkspel 26%,Sandvikens IF gewonnen 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.36 · Boven 2.5 65% · Current selection Boven