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Varbergs BoIS FC vs Sandvikens IF

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.36 expected goals
Away form
Home win46%
Draw26%
Away win29%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win46% selection probability
Projected score2–1Varbergs BoIS FCSandvikens IF
Expected goals3.36Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over65% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
46% / 26% / 29%Match resultHome win46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.8%)Double chance1274.2%1.35
Over 65% · Under 35%Goals 2.5Over65%1.54
Yes 65% · No 35%Both teams scoreYes65%1.54
3.36 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Varbergs BoIS FC win46%2.17
Draw26%3.85
Sandvikens IF win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Varbergs BoIS FC1.99

Home share of expected goals 59.2%

Total expected goals3.36Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 65% · Under 35%

Sandvikens IF1.37

Away share of expected goals 40.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 65% · No 35%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Varbergs BoIS FC

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome won 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Sandvikens IF

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Win probability excluding draw
29%
9
Points from supplied form
7
1.99
Expected goals
1.37
Varbergs BoIS FCSandvikens IF
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Varbergs BoIS FC signalHome won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sandvikens IF signalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Varbergs BoIS FC vs Sandvikens IF FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Varbergs BoIS FC win 46%,Draw 26%,Sandvikens IF win 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.36 · Over 2.5 65% · Current selection Over