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SWE Zweden - Superettan · Wedstrijd ·

Falkenbergs FF vs Nordic United FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–13.30 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst45%
Gelijkspel26%
Uitwinst29%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst45% selection probability
Projected score2–1Falkenbergs FFNordic United FC
Expected goals3.30Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven64% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa64% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
45% / 26% / 29%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.1%)Dubbele Kans1273.9%1.35
Boven 64% · Onder 36%Goals 2.5Boven64%1.56
Ja 64% · Nee 36%Beide teams scorenJa64%1.56
3.30 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.3 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Falkenbergs FF win45%2.22
Gelijkspel26%3.85
Nordic United FC win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Falkenbergs FF1.94

Thuis share of expected goals 58.8%

Total expected goals3.30Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 64% · Onder 36%

Nordic United FC1.36

Uit share of expected goals 41.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 64% · Nee 36%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Falkenbergs FF

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9

SignalThuis won 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Nordic United FC

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Punten7

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
29%
9
Points from supplied form
7
1.94
Expected goals
1.36
Falkenbergs FFNordic United FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Falkenbergs FF signalThuis won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Nordic United FC signalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Falkenbergs FF vs Nordic United FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Falkenbergs FF gewonnen 45%,Gelijkspel 26%,Nordic United FC gewonnen 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.30 · Boven 2.5 64% · Current selection Boven