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BEL België - Eerste klasse A · Round 1 ·

Westerlo vs Union Sint-Gillis

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.10 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst20%
Gelijkspel24%
Uitwinst56%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst56% selection probability
Projected score1–1WesterloUnion Sint-Gillis
Expected goals2.10Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder65% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee63% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
20% / 24% / 56%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Westerlo win (20.4%)Dubbele KansX279.6%1.26
Boven 35% · Onder 65%Goals 2.5Onder65%1.54
Ja 37% · Nee 63%Beide teams scorenNee63%1.59
2.10 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.9 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.5%Largest probability gapWesterlo winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Westerlo win20%5.004.3320.9%-0.9 pp
Gelijkspel24%4.173.9023.2%+0.8 pp
Union Sint-Gillis win56%1.791.6255.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Westerlo0.64

Thuis share of expected goals 30.5%

Total expected goals2.10Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 35% · Onder 65%

Union Sint-Gillis1.46

Uit share of expected goals 69.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 37% · Nee 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Westerlo

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis failed to score: 2/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Union Sint-Gillis

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalUit unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
20%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
56%
4
Points from supplied form
8
0.64
Expected goals
1.46
WesterloUnion Sint-Gillis
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Westerlo signalThuis failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Union Sint-Gillis signalUit unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Westerlo vs Union Sint-Gillis FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Westerlo gewonnen 20%,Gelijkspel 24%,Union Sint-Gillis gewonnen 56%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.10 · Boven 2.5 35% · Current selection Onder