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TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
Nederlands
POL Polen - III Liga · Wedstrijd ·

Sparta Katowice vs Stilon Gorzow

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–13.23 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst56%
Gelijkspel24%
Uitwinst20%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 56% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst56% selection probability
Projected score2–1Sparta KatowiceStilon Gorzow
Expected goals3.23Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven62% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
56% / 24% / 20%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Stilon Gorzow win (19.9%)Dubbele Kans1X80.1%1.25
Boven 62% · Onder 38%Goals 2.5Boven62%1.61
Ja 64% · Nee 36%Beide teams scorenJa64%1.56
3.23 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
10.4 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sparta Katowice win56%1.791.5757%
Gelijkspel24%4.173.7024.2%
Stilon Gorzow win20%5.004.7518.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sparta Katowice1.98

Thuis share of expected goals 61.3%

Total expected goals3.23Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 62% · Onder 38%

Stilon Gorzow1.25

Uit share of expected goals 38.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 64% · Nee 36%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Sparta Katowice

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Stilon Gorzow

2.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punten11

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
20%
8
Points from supplied form
11
1.98
Expected goals
1.25
Sparta KatowiceStilon Gorzow
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sparta Katowice signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Stilon Gorzow signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Sparta Katowice vs Stilon Gorzow FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sparta Katowice gewonnen 56%,Gelijkspel 24%,Stilon Gorzow gewonnen 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.23 · Boven 2.5 62% · Current selection Boven