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POL Poland III Liga · Fixture ·

Sparta Katowice vs Stilon Gorzow

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.24 expected goals
Away form
Home win59%
Draw23%
Away win18%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 59% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win59% selection probability
Projected score2–1Sparta KatowiceStilon Gorzow
Expected goals3.24Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over63% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
59% / 23% / 18%Match resultHome win59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Stilon Gorzow win (17.5%)Double chance1X82.5%1.21
Over 63% · Under 37%Goals 2.5Over63%1.59
Yes 63% · No 37%Both teams scoreYes63%1.59
3.24 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.4 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sparta Katowice win59%1.691.4860.7%
Draw23%4.353.9023%
Stilon Gorzow win18%5.565.5016.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sparta Katowice2.03

Home share of expected goals 62.7%

Total expected goals3.24Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 63% · Under 37%

Stilon Gorzow1.21

Away share of expected goals 37.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 63% · No 37%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Sparta Katowice

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Stilon Gorzow

2.20pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Win probability excluding draw
18%
8
Points from supplied form
11
2.03
Expected goals
1.21
Sparta KatowiceStilon Gorzow
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sparta Katowice signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Stilon Gorzow signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Sparta Katowice vs Stilon Gorzow FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sparta Katowice win 59%,Draw 23%,Stilon Gorzow win 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.24 · Over 2.5 63% · Current selection Over