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POL Poland III Liga · Fixture ·

CK Troszyn vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–23.18 expected goals
Away form
Home win30%
Draw25%
Away win44%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 44% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win44% selection probability
Projected score2–2CK TroszynMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
Expected goals3.18Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over61% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
30% / 25% / 44%Match resultAway win44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.4%)Double chance1274.6%1.34
Over 61% · Under 39%Goals 2.5Over61%1.64
Yes 64% · No 36%Both teams scoreYes64%1.56
3.18 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
10.5 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CK Troszyn win30%3.333.1028.8%
Draw25%4.003.5025.5%
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki win44%2.271.9545.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CK Troszyn1.50

Home share of expected goals 47.2%

Total expected goals3.18Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 61% · Under 39%

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki1.68

Away share of expected goals 52.8%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 64% · No 36%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

CK Troszyn

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalAway won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Win probability excluding draw
44%
4
Points from supplied form
9
1.50
Expected goals
1.68
CK TroszynMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CK Troszyn signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki signalAway won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

CK Troszyn vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 2–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CK Troszyn win 30%,Draw 25%,Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki win 44%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.18 · Over 2.5 61% · Current selection Over