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POL Polen - 3. Liga · Spiel ·

Sparta Katowice vs Stilon Gorzów

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–13.24 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg59%
Unentschieden23%
Auswärtssieg18%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 59% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg59% selection probability
Projected score2–1Sparta KatowiceStilon Gorzów
Expected goals3.24Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über63% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
59% / 23% / 18%SpielergebnisHeimsieg59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Stilon Gorzów win (17.5%)Doppelte Chance1X82.5%1.21
Über 63% · Unter 37%Goals 2.5Über63%1.59
Ja 63% · Nein 37%Beide Teams treffenJa63%1.59
3.24 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
10.4 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sparta Katowice win59%1.691.4860.7%
Unentschieden23%4.353.9023%
Stilon Gorzów win18%5.565.5016.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sparta Katowice2.03

Heim share of expected goals 62.7%

Total expected goals3.24Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 63% · Unter 37%

Stilon Gorzów1.21

Auswärts share of expected goals 37.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 63% · Nein 37%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Sparta Katowice

1.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkte8

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Stilon Gorzów

2.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punkte11

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
18%
8
Points from supplied form
11
2.03
Expected goals
1.21
Sparta KatowiceStilon Gorzów
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sparta Katowice signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Stilon Gorzów signalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Sparta Katowice vs Stilon Gorzów FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sparta Katowice Gewinn 59%,Unentschieden 23%,Stilon Gorzów Gewinn 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.24 · Über 2.5 63% · Current selection Über