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POL Polen - III Liga · Wedstrijd ·

Lech Poznan II vs Chemik Bydgoszcz

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–13.25 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst59%
Gelijkspel22%
Uitwinst19%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 59% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst59% selection probability
Projected score2–1Lech Poznan IIChemik Bydgoszcz
Expected goals3.25Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven63% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
59% / 22% / 19%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Chemik Bydgoszcz win (19.2%)Dubbele Kans1X80.8%1.24
Boven 63% · Onder 37%Goals 2.5Boven63%1.59
Ja 63% · Nee 37%Beide teams scorenJa63%1.59
3.25 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
10.5 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lech Poznan II win59%1.691.5060%
Gelijkspel22%4.554.1022%
Chemik Bydgoszcz win19%5.265.0018%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lech Poznan II2.02

Thuis share of expected goals 62.2%

Total expected goals3.25Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 63% · Onder 37%

Chemik Bydgoszcz1.23

Uit share of expected goals 37.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 63% · Nee 37%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Lech Poznan II

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Chemik Bydgoszcz

2.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punten11

SignalUit unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
19%
7
Points from supplied form
11
2.02
Expected goals
1.23
Lech Poznan IIChemik Bydgoszcz
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lech Poznan II signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Chemik Bydgoszcz signalUit unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Lech Poznan II vs Chemik Bydgoszcz FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lech Poznan II gewonnen 59%,Gelijkspel 22%,Chemik Bydgoszcz gewonnen 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.25 · Boven 2.5 63% · Current selection Boven