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SCO Schotland - League One · Round 1 ·

Ross County vs Montrose

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.63 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst42%
Gelijkspel26%
Uitwinst32%
Baseline forecastThuiswinstTier C · 42% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Ross CountyMontrose
Expected goals2.63Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder51% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
42% / 26% / 32%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.1%)Dubbele Kans1273.9%1.35
Boven 49% · Onder 51%Goals 2.5Onder51%1.96
Ja 53% · Nee 47%Beide teams scorenJa53%1.89
2.63 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.5 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Ross County win42%2.38
Gelijkspel26%3.85
Montrose win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ross County1.42

Thuis share of expected goals 54%

Total expected goals2.63Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 49% · Onder 51%

Montrose1.21

Uit share of expected goals 46%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nee 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Ross County

2.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punten13

SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Montrose

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
32%
13
Points from supplied form
9
1.42
Expected goals
1.21
Ross CountyMontrose
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ross County signalThuis unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Montrose signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Ross County vs Montrose FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ross County gewonnen 42%,Gelijkspel 26%,Montrose gewonnen 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.63 · Boven 2.5 49% · Current selection Onder