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NOR Noorwegen - 3. divisjon - Groep 4 · Wedstrijd ·

Madla vs Vindbjart

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–23.75 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst46%
Gelijkspel21%
Uitwinst33%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 46% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst46% selection probability
Projected score2–2MadlaVindbjart
Expected goals3.75Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven72% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa71% for the selected side
Expected corners11.4Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
46% / 21% / 33%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.7%)Dubbele Kans1279.3%1.26
Boven 72% · Onder 28%Goals 2.5Boven72%1.39
Ja 71% · Nee 29%Beide teams scorenJa71%1.41
3.75 total expected goalsExacte score2–2
11.4 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Madla win46%2.171.9546%
Gelijkspel21%4.764.3320.7%
Vindbjart win33%3.032.7033.2%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Madla2.07

Thuis share of expected goals 55.2%

Total expected goals3.75Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 72% · Onder 28%

Vindbjart1.68

Uit share of expected goals 44.8%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 71% · Nee 29%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Madla

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Vindbjart

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
33%
8
Points from supplied form
10
2.07
Expected goals
1.68
MadlaVindbjart
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Madla signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Vindbjart signalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Madla vs Vindbjart FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–2 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Madla gewonnen 46%,Gelijkspel 21%,Vindbjart gewonnen 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.75 · Boven 2.5 72% · Current selection Boven