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LTU Litouwen - II Lyga · Wedstrijd ·

FK Sveikata vs Vilnius Football Academy

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–23.74 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst34%
Gelijkspel24%
Uitwinst42%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst42% selection probability
Projected score2–2FK SveikataVilnius Football Academy
Expected goals3.74Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven72% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa71% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
34% / 24% / 42%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.8%)Dubbele Kans1276.2%1.31
Boven 72% · Onder 28%Goals 2.5Boven72%1.39
Ja 71% · Nee 29%Beide teams scorenJa71%1.41
3.74 total expected goalsExacte score2–2
10.0 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapVilnius Football Academy winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Sveikata win34%2.942.7033.3%+0.7 pp
Gelijkspel24%4.173.7524%0.0 pp
Vilnius Football Academy win42%2.382.1042.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Sveikata2.13

Thuis share of expected goals 57%

Total expected goals3.74Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 72% · Onder 28%

Vilnius Football Academy1.61

Uit share of expected goals 43%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 71% · Nee 29%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

FK Sveikata

2.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punten11

SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Vilnius Football Academy

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
42%
11
Points from supplied form
8
2.13
Expected goals
1.61
FK SveikataVilnius Football Academy
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Sveikata signalThuis unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Vilnius Football Academy signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

FK Sveikata vs Vilnius Football Academy FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 2–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Sveikata gewonnen 34%,Gelijkspel 24%,Vilnius Football Academy gewonnen 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.74 · Boven 2.5 72% · Current selection Boven