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NOR Noorwegen - 1. divisjon · Wedstrijd ·

Stromsgodset vs Egersunds

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–13.75 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst51%
Gelijkspel24%
Uitwinst25%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst51% selection probability
Projected score2–1StromsgodsetEgersunds
Expected goals3.75Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven72% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa68% for the selected side
Expected corners11.2Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
51% / 24% / 25%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24%)Dubbele Kans1276%1.32
Boven 72% · Onder 28%Goals 2.5Boven72%1.39
Ja 68% · Nee 32%Beide teams scorenJa68%1.47
3.75 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
11.2 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Stromsgodset win51%1.96
Gelijkspel24%4.17
Egersunds win25%4.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Stromsgodset2.39

Thuis share of expected goals 63.7%

Total expected goals3.75Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 72% · Onder 28%

Egersunds1.36

Uit share of expected goals 36.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 68% · Nee 32%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Stromsgodset

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punten6

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Egersunds

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
25%
6
Points from supplied form
10
2.39
Expected goals
1.36
StromsgodsetEgersunds
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Stromsgodset signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Egersunds signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Stromsgodset vs Egersunds FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Stromsgodset gewonnen 51%,Gelijkspel 24%,Egersunds gewonnen 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.75 · Boven 2.5 72% · Current selection Boven