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NOR Norvegia - 1. Division · Partita ·

Stromsgodset vs Egersunds

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–13.75 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa51%
Pareggio24%
Vittoria ospite25%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa51% selection probability
Projected score2–1StromsgodsetEgersunds
Expected goals3.75Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra72% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano68% for the selected side
Expected corners11.2Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
51% / 24% / 25%Esito partitaVittoria casa51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24%)Doppia Chance1276%1.32
Sopra 72% · Sotto 28%Goals 2.5Sopra72%1.39
Sì 68% · No 32%Entrambe le squadre segnano68%1.47
3.75 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
11.2 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Stromsgodset win51%1.96
Pareggio24%4.17
Egersunds win25%4.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Stromsgodset2.39

Casa share of expected goals 63.7%

Total expected goals3.75Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 72% · Sotto 28%

Egersunds1.36

Trasferta share of expected goals 36.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 68% · No 32%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Stromsgodset

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punti6

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Egersunds

2.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punti10

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Vinta probability excluding draw
25%
6
Points from supplied form
10
2.39
Expected goals
1.36
StromsgodsetEgersunds
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Stromsgodset signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Egersunds signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Stromsgodset vs Egersunds FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Stromsgodset vinta 51%,Pareggio 24%,Egersunds vinta 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.75 · Sopra 2.5 72% · Current selection Sopra