Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
37% / 26% / 37%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.9%)Dubbele Kans1274.1%1.35
Boven 50% · Onder 50%Goals 2.5Boven50%2.00
Ja 55% · Nee 45%Beide teams scorenJa55%1.82
2.69 total expected goalsExacte score1–1——
9.4 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Derby win37%2.70
Gelijkspel26%3.85
Lincoln City win37%2.70
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 50.2%
Total expected goals2.69Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Boven 50% · Onder 50%
Uit share of expected goals 49.8%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 55% · Nee 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchDerby
LWLWL
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6
SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5
Uit-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchLincoln City
LWW
Gespeeld3Wins2Drawn0Losses1Punten6
SignalNee recent signal
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
37%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
37%6
Points from supplied form
61.35
Expected goals
1.34DerbyLincoln City
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.
Match questions
Derby vs Lincoln City FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Derby gewonnen 37%，Gelijkspel 26%，Lincoln City gewonnen 37%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.69 · Boven 2.5 50% · Current selection Boven。