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ENG Англия - Купа на Лигата · Мач ·

Дарби vs Линкълн Сити

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.70 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина37%
Равен26%
Победа за госта37%
Baseline forecastПобеда за гостаTier C · 37% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта37% selection probability
Projected score1–1ДарбиЛинкълн Сити
Expected goals2.70Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над51% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
37% / 26% / 37%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.8%)Двоен шанс1274.2%1.35
Над 51% · Под 49%Goals 2.5Над51%1.96
Да 55% · Не 45%И двата отбора да отбележатДа55%1.82
2.70 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
9.4 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Дарби win37%2.70
Равен26%3.85
Линкълн Сити win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Дарби1.34

Домакин share of expected goals 49.6%

Total expected goals2.70Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 51% · Под 49%

Линкълн Сити1.36

Гост share of expected goals 50.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 55% · Не 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Дарби

1.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Точки6

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Линкълн Сити

2.00pts / match
Изиграни3Wins2Drawn0Losses1Точки6

SignalНе recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
37%
6
Points from supplied form
6
1.34
Expected goals
1.36
ДарбиЛинкълн Сити
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Дарби signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Линкълн Сити signalНе recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Дарби vs Линкълн Сити FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Дарби печеливш 37%,Равен 26%,Линкълн Сити печеливш 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.70 · Над 2.5 51% · Current selection Над