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Nederlands
NLD Nederland - Eredivisie · Wedstrijd ·

AZ vs ADO Den Haag

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–13.13 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst67%
Gelijkspel20%
Uitwinst13%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 67% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst67% selection probability
Projected score2–1AZADO Den Haag
Expected goals3.13Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven61% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
67% / 20% / 13%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ADO Den Haag win (13.2%)Dubbele Kans1X86.8%1.15
Boven 61% · Onder 39%Goals 2.5Boven61%1.64
Ja 59% · Nee 41%Beide teams scorenJa59%1.69
3.13 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
10.4 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin5.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AZ win67%1.491.3869%
Gelijkspel20%5.005.0019.1%
ADO Den Haag win13%7.698.0011.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AZ2.09

Thuis share of expected goals 66.8%

Total expected goals3.13Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 61% · Onder 39%

ADO Den Haag1.04

Uit share of expected goals 33.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 59% · Nee 41%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

AZ

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Punten7

SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

ADO Den Haag

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
67%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
13%
7
Points from supplied form
10
2.09
Expected goals
1.04
AZADO Den Haag
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AZ signalThuis unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ADO Den Haag signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

AZ vs ADO Den Haag FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AZ gewonnen 67%,Gelijkspel 20%,ADO Den Haag gewonnen 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.13 · Boven 2.5 61% · Current selection Boven