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NLD Países Baixos - Eredivisie · Partida ·

AZ vs ADO Den Haag

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score2–13.13 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa67%
Empate20%
Vitória visitante13%
Market-based forecastVitória da casaTier B · 67% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa67% selection probability
Projected score2–1AZADO Den Haag
Expected goals3.13Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima61% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
67% / 20% / 13%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ADO Den Haag win (13.2%)Dupla Chance1X86.8%1.15
Acima 61% · Abaixo 39%Goals 2.5Acima61%1.64
Sim 59% · Não 41%Ambas as equipes marcamSim59%1.69
3.13 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1
10.4 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin5.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNenhum
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AZ win67%1.491.3869%
Empate20%5.005.0019.1%
ADO Den Haag win13%7.698.0011.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AZ2.09

Mandante share of expected goals 66.8%

Total expected goals3.13Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 61% · Abaixo 39%

ADO Den Haag1.04

Visitante share of expected goals 33.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 59% · Não 41%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

AZ

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Pontos7

SignalMandante unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

ADO Den Haag

2.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontos10

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
67%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
13%
7
Points from supplied form
10
2.09
Expected goals
1.04
AZADO Den Haag
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AZ signalMandante unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ADO Den Haag signalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

AZ vs ADO Den Haag FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AZ ganhou 67%,Empate 20%,ADO Den Haag ganhou 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.13 · Acima 2.5 61% · Current selection Acima