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AUS Australia South Australia State League 1 · Final ·

Adelaide Croatia Raiders vs Cove

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score4–2Voorspelling 3–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst57%
Gelijkspel20%
Uitwinst22%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 57% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst57% selection probability
Projected score3–1Adelaide Croatia RaidersCove
Expected goals3.48Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven68% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
57% / 20% / 22%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.4%)Dubbele Kans1279.6%1.26
Boven 68% · Onder 32%Goals 2.5Boven68%1.47
Ja 53% · Nee 47%Beide teams scorenJa53%1.89
3.48 total expected goalsExacte score3–1
10.5 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapCove winDifference-1.7 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Adelaide Croatia Raiders win57%1.751.6255.5%+1.5 pp
Gelijkspel20%5.004.3320.8%-0.8 pp
Cove win22%4.553.8023.7%-1.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Adelaide Croatia Raiders2.64

Thuis share of expected goals 75.9%

Total expected goals3.48Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 68% · Onder 32%

Cove0.84

Uit share of expected goals 24.1%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nee 47%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Adelaide Croatia Raiders

2.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punten13

SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Cove

0.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punten3

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
22%
13
Points from supplied form
3
2.64
Expected goals
0.84
Adelaide Croatia RaidersCove
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Adelaide Croatia Raiders signalThuis unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cove signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Adelaide Croatia Raiders vs Cove FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 3–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Adelaide Croatia Raiders gewonnen 57%,Gelijkspel 20%,Cove gewonnen 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.48 · Boven 2.5 68% · Current selection Boven