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AUS Australia South Australia State League 1 · Final ·

Adelaide Croatia Raiders vs Cove

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score4–2Prognose 3–1
Borte form
Hjemmeseier57%
Uavgjort20%
Borteseier22%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 57% selection probability
Prediction Vunnet
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier57% selection probability
Projected score3–1Adelaide Croatia RaidersCove
Expected goals3.48Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over68% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
57% / 20% / 22%KampresultatHjemmeseier57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.4%)Dobbel sjanse1279.6%1.26
Over 68% · Under 32%Goals 2.5Over68%1.47
Ja 53% · Nei 47%Begge lag scorerJa53%1.89
3.48 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat3–1
10.5 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapCove winDifference-1.7 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Adelaide Croatia Raiders win57%1.751.6255.5%+1.5 pp
Uavgjort20%5.004.3320.8%-0.8 pp
Cove win22%4.553.8023.7%-1.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Adelaide Croatia Raiders2.64

Hjemme share of expected goals 75.9%

Total expected goals3.48Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 68% · Under 32%

Cove0.84

Borte share of expected goals 24.1%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nei 47%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Adelaide Croatia Raiders

2.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Poeng13

SignalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Cove

0.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Poeng3

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
22%
13
Points from supplied form
3
2.64
Expected goals
0.84
Adelaide Croatia RaidersCove
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Adelaide Croatia Raiders signalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cove signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Adelaide Croatia Raiders vs Cove FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 3–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Adelaide Croatia Raiders vunnet 57%,Uavgjort 20%,Cove vunnet 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.48 · Over 2.5 68% · Current selection Over