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TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
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INT Peru - Liga 2 · Wedstrijd ·

Union Comercio vs Academia Deportiva Cantolao

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–01.54 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst70%
Gelijkspel20%
Uitwinst10%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 70% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst70% selection probability
Projected score1–0Union ComercioAcademia Deportiva Cantolao
Expected goals1.54Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder80% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee90% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
70% / 20% / 10%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst70%1.43
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Academia Deportiva Cantolao win (9.6%)Dubbele Kans1X90.4%1.11
Boven 20% · Onder 80%Goals 2.5Onder80%1.25
Ja 10% · Nee 90%Beide teams scorenNee90%1.11
1.54 total expected goalsExacte score1–0
9.2 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.7%Largest probability gapAcademia Deportiva Cantolao winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Union Comercio win70%1.431.2769.9%+0.1 pp
Gelijkspel20%5.004.5019.7%+0.3 pp
Academia Deportiva Cantolao win10%10.008.5010.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Union Comercio1.40

Thuis share of expected goals 90.9%

Total expected goals1.54Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 20% · Onder 80%

Academia Deportiva Cantolao0.14

Uit share of expected goals 9.1%

Projected score1–0BTTS splitJa 10% · Nee 90%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Union Comercio

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punten9

SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Academia Deportiva Cantolao

0.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punten2

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
70%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
10%
9
Points from supplied form
2
1.40
Expected goals
0.14
Union ComercioAcademia Deportiva Cantolao
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Union Comercio signalThuis unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Academia Deportiva Cantolao signalThuis matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk30% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Union Comercio vs Academia Deportiva Cantolao FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–0 · 70% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Union Comercio gewonnen 70%,Gelijkspel 20%,Academia Deportiva Cantolao gewonnen 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.54 · Boven 2.5 20% · Current selection Onder