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PRT Portugal - Campeonato Nacional · Final ·

AD Ponte da Barca vs AC Vila Mea

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score1–2Voorspelling 1–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst26%
Gelijkspel31%
Uitwinst43%
Market-based forecastUitwinstTier B · 43% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst43% selection probability
Projected score1–1AD Ponte da BarcaAC Vila Mea
Expected goals2.33Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder59% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
26% / 31% / 43%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes AD Ponte da Barca win (26.4%)Dubbele KansX273.6%1.36
Boven 41% · Onder 59%Goals 2.5Onder59%1.69
Ja 49% · Nee 51%Beide teams scorenNee51%1.96
2.33 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.5 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AD Ponte da Barca win26%3.853.6024.7%
Gelijkspel31%3.232.8830.9%
AC Vila Mea win43%2.332.0044.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AD Ponte da Barca1.07

Thuis share of expected goals 45.9%

Total expected goals2.33Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 41% · Onder 59%

AC Vila Mea1.26

Uit share of expected goals 54.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 49% · Nee 51%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

AD Ponte da Barca

0.00pts / match
Gespeeld0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Punten0

SignalUit matches under 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

AC Vila Mea

1.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punten5

SignalNee recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
43%
0
Points from supplied form
5
1.07
Expected goals
1.26
AD Ponte da BarcaAC Vila Mea
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AD Ponte da Barca signalUit matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AC Vila Mea signalNee recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

AD Ponte da Barca vs AC Vila Mea FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AD Ponte da Barca gewonnen 26%,Gelijkspel 31%,AC Vila Mea gewonnen 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.33 · Boven 2.5 41% · Current selection Onder