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MLT Malta - Premier League · Final ·

Hamrun Spartans vs Mosta FC

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score0–2Prognose 3–0
Borte form
Hjemmeseier74%
Uavgjort17%
Borteseier8%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 74% selection probability
Prediction Tapt
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier74% selection probability
Projected score3–0Hamrun SpartansMosta FC
Expected goals2.95Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over57% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerNei71% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
74% / 17% / 8%KampresultatHjemmeseier74%1.35
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Mosta FC win (8.3%)Dobbel sjanse1X91.7%1.09
Over 57% · Under 43%Goals 2.5Over57%1.75
Ja 29% · Nei 71%Begge lag scorerNei71%1.41
2.95 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat3–0
10.0 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Hamrun Spartans win74%1.351.2273.2%+0.8 pp
Uavgjort17%5.885.0017.9%-0.9 pp
Mosta FC win8%12.5010.008.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Hamrun Spartans2.58

Hjemme share of expected goals 87.5%

Total expected goals2.95Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 57% · Under 43%

Mosta FC0.37

Borte share of expected goals 12.5%

Projected score3–0BTTS splitJa 29% · Nei 71%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Hamrun Spartans

1.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poeng5

SignalBorte matches under 2.5: 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Mosta FC

0.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poeng4

SignalBorte failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
74%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
8%
5
Points from supplied form
4
2.58
Expected goals
0.37
Hamrun SpartansMosta FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Hamrun Spartans signalBorte matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Mosta FC signalBorte failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk26% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

Hamrun Spartans vs Mosta FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 3–0 · 74% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Hamrun Spartans vunnet 74%,Uavgjort 17%,Mosta FC vunnet 8%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.95 · Over 2.5 57% · Current selection Over