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MLT Malta - Premier League · Final ·

Hamrun Spartans vs Mosta FC

Prediction review

Gospodarze form
Final score0–2Prognoza 3–0
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy74%
Remis17%
Wygrana gości8%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 74% selection probability
Prediction Nietrafiony
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy74% selection probability
Projected score3–0Hamrun SpartansMosta FC
Expected goals2.95Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej57% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie71% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
74% / 17% / 8%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy74%1.35
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Mosta FC win (8.3%)Podwójna szansa1X91.7%1.09
Powyżej 57% · Poniżej 43%Goals 2.5Powyżej57%1.75
Tak 29% · Nie 71%Obie drużyny strzeląNie71%1.41
2.95 total expected goalsDokładny wynik3–0
10.0 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Hamrun Spartans win74%1.351.2273.2%+0.8 pp
Remis17%5.885.0017.9%-0.9 pp
Mosta FC win8%12.5010.008.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Hamrun Spartans2.58

Gospodarze share of expected goals 87.5%

Total expected goals2.95Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 57% · Poniżej 43%

Mosta FC0.37

Goście share of expected goals 12.5%

Projected score3–0BTTS splitTak 29% · Nie 71%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Hamrun Spartans

1.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkty5

SignalGoście matches under 2.5: 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Mosta FC

0.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkty4

SignalGoście failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
74%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
8%
5
Points from supplied form
4
2.58
Expected goals
0.37
Hamrun SpartansMosta FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Hamrun Spartans signalGoście matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Mosta FC signalGoście failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk26% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

Hamrun Spartans vs Mosta FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 3–0 · 74% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Hamrun Spartans wygrana 74%,Remis 17%,Mosta FC wygrana 8%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.95 · Powyżej 2.5 57% · Current selection Powyżej