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MLT Malta - Premier League · Final ·

Hamrun Spartans vs Mosta FC

Prediction review

Domicile form
Final score0–2Pronostic 3–0
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile74%
Nul17%
Victoire à l’extérieur8%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 74% selection probability
Prediction Perdu
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile74% selection probability
Projected score3–0Hamrun SpartansMosta FC
Expected goals2.95Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de57% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon71% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
74% / 17% / 8%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile74%1.35
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Mosta FC win (8.3%)Double chance1X91.7%1.09
Plus de 57% · Moins de 43%Goals 2.5Plus de57%1.75
Oui 29% · Non 71%Les deux équipes marquentNon71%1.41
2.95 total expected goalsScore exact3–0
10.0 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Hamrun Spartans win74%1.351.2273.2%+0.8 pp
Nul17%5.885.0017.9%-0.9 pp
Mosta FC win8%12.5010.008.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Hamrun Spartans2.58

Domicile share of expected goals 87.5%

Total expected goals2.95Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 57% · Moins de 43%

Mosta FC0.37

Extérieur share of expected goals 12.5%

Projected score3–0BTTS splitOui 29% · Non 71%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Hamrun Spartans

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalExtérieur matches under 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Mosta FC

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalExtérieur failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
74%
Gagné probability excluding draw
8%
5
Points from supplied form
4
2.58
Expected goals
0.37
Hamrun SpartansMosta FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Hamrun Spartans signalExtérieur matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Mosta FC signalExtérieur failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk26% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

Hamrun Spartans vs Mosta FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 3–0 · 74% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Hamrun Spartans victoire 74%,Nul 17%,Mosta FC victoire 8%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.95 · Plus de 2.5 57% · Current selection Plus de