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ISL Iceland Premier League Women · Kamp ·

Thor/KA Akureyri (W) vs Fram Reykjavik (W)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–23.44 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier52%
Uavgjort23%
Borteseier25%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier52% selection probability
Projected score2–2Thor/KA Akureyri (W)Fram Reykjavik (W)
Expected goals3.44Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over67% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa67% for the selected side
Expected corners11.7Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
52% / 23% / 25%KampresultatHjemmeseier52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.9%)Dobbel sjanse1277.1%1.30
Over 67% · Under 33%Goals 2.5Over67%1.49
Ja 67% · Nei 33%Begge lag scorerJa67%1.49
3.44 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–2
11.7 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.2%Largest probability gapThor/KA Akureyri (W) winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Thor/KA Akureyri (W) win52%1.921.7052.4%-0.4 pp
Uavgjort23%4.353.9022.8%+0.2 pp
Fram Reykjavik (W) win25%4.003.6024.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Thor/KA Akureyri (W)1.88

Hjemme share of expected goals 54.7%

Total expected goals3.44Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 67% · Under 33%

Fram Reykjavik (W)1.56

Borte share of expected goals 45.3%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 67% · Nei 33%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Thor/KA Akureyri (W)

1.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poeng9

SignalHjemme won 3/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Fram Reykjavik (W)

1.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poeng9

SignalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
25%
9
Points from supplied form
9
1.88
Expected goals
1.56
Thor/KA Akureyri (W)Fram Reykjavik (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Thor/KA Akureyri (W) signalHjemme won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fram Reykjavik (W) signalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Thor/KA Akureyri (W) vs Fram Reykjavik (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–2 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Thor/KA Akureyri (W) vunnet 52%,Uavgjort 23%,Fram Reykjavik (W) vunnet 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.44 · Over 2.5 67% · Current selection Over