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ISL Island - Úrvalsdeild - Kvinder · Kamp ·

Thor/KA Akureyri (K) vs Fram Reykjavik (K)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–23.44 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr52%
Uafgjort23%
Udesejr25%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr52% selection probability
Projected score2–2Thor/KA Akureyri (K)Fram Reykjavik (K)
Expected goals3.44Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over67% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa67% for the selected side
Expected corners11.7Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
52% / 23% / 25%KampresultatHjemmesejr52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.9%)Dobbeltchance1277.1%1.30
Over 67% · Under 33%Goals 2.5Over67%1.49
Ja 67% · Nej 33%Begge hold scorerJa67%1.49
3.44 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–2
11.7 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.2%Largest probability gapThor/KA Akureyri (K) winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Thor/KA Akureyri (K) win52%1.921.7052.4%-0.4 pp
Uafgjort23%4.353.9022.8%+0.2 pp
Fram Reykjavik (K) win25%4.003.6024.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Thor/KA Akureyri (K)1.88

Hjemme share of expected goals 54.7%

Total expected goals3.44Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 67% · Under 33%

Fram Reykjavik (K)1.56

Ude share of expected goals 45.3%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 67% · Nej 33%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Thor/KA Akureyri (K)

1.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Point9

SignalHjemme won 3/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Fram Reykjavik (K)

1.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Point9

SignalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Vundet probability excluding draw
25%
9
Points from supplied form
9
1.88
Expected goals
1.56
Thor/KA Akureyri (K)Fram Reykjavik (K)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Thor/KA Akureyri (K) signalHjemme won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fram Reykjavik (K) signalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Thor/KA Akureyri (K) vs Fram Reykjavik (K) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–2 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Thor/KA Akureyri (K) vundet 52%,Uafgjort 23%,Fram Reykjavik (K) vundet 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.44 · Over 2.5 67% · Current selection Over