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LTU Lithuania 1 Lyga · Final ·

FK Jonava vs FK Ekranas

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score1–2Prognose 2–1
Borte form
Hjemmeseier55%
Uavgjort22%
Borteseier23%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 55% selection probability
Prediction Tapt
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier55% selection probability
Projected score2–1FK JonavaFK Ekranas
Expected goals2.83Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over54% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerNei50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
55% / 22% / 23%KampresultatHjemmeseier55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.4%)Dobbel sjanse1277.6%1.29
Over 54% · Under 46%Goals 2.5Over54%1.85
Ja 50% · Nei 50%Begge lag scorerNei50%2.00
2.83 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.7 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapFK Jonava winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Jonava win55%1.821.6753.7%+1.3 pp
Uavgjort22%4.554.0022.4%-0.4 pp
FK Ekranas win23%4.353.7523.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Jonava1.97

Hjemme share of expected goals 69.6%

Total expected goals2.83Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 54% · Under 46%

FK Ekranas0.86

Borte share of expected goals 30.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 50% · Nei 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

FK Jonava

1.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poeng9

SignalHjemme won 3/5

Borte-context · form sequence

FK Ekranas

0.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Poeng1

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
23%
9
Points from supplied form
1
1.97
Expected goals
0.86
FK JonavaFK Ekranas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Jonava signalHjemme won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Ekranas signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

FK Jonava vs FK Ekranas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Jonava vunnet 55%,Uavgjort 22%,FK Ekranas vunnet 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.83 · Over 2.5 54% · Current selection Over