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LTU Lithuania 1 Lyga · Final ·

FK Jonava vs FK Ekranas

Prediction review

Hemma form
Final score1–2Prognos 2–1
Borta form
Hemmaseger55%
Oavgjort22%
Bortaseger23%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 55% selection probability
Prediction Förlorad
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger55% selection probability
Projected score2–1FK JonavaFK Ekranas
Expected goals2.83Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över54% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
55% / 22% / 23%MatchresultatHemmaseger55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.4%)Dubbelchans1277.6%1.29
Över 54% · Under 46%Goals 2.5Över54%1.85
Ja 50% · Nej 50%Båda lagen gör målNej50%2.00
2.83 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.7 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapFK Jonava winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Jonava win55%1.821.6753.7%+1.3 pp
Oavgjort22%4.554.0022.4%-0.4 pp
FK Ekranas win23%4.353.7523.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Jonava1.97

Hemma share of expected goals 69.6%

Total expected goals2.83Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 54% · Under 46%

FK Ekranas0.86

Borta share of expected goals 30.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 50% · Nej 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

FK Jonava

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poäng9

SignalHemma won 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

FK Ekranas

0.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Poäng1

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
23%
9
Points from supplied form
1
1.97
Expected goals
0.86
FK JonavaFK Ekranas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Jonava signalHemma won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Ekranas signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

FK Jonava vs FK Ekranas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Jonava vunnen 55%,Oavgjort 22%,FK Ekranas vunnen 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.83 · Över 2.5 54% · Current selection Över